The 2026 NHL Draft class has produced a tightly contested Calder Trophy market, with trader consensus clustering probabilities among a deep group of first-round talents. Gavin McKenna, the No. 1 overall pick by the Maple Leafs after a strong NCAA freshman season at Penn State, sits atop the field at 24.5% but faces immediate competition from players like Ivar Stenberg and others with varying levels of pro experience. Porter Martone’s limited prior NHL action and several additional prospects’ projected top-six or power-play roles add to the uncertainty, as training camp battles, ice-time allocation, and adaptation to the league will determine outcomes in this wide-open rookie race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGavin McKenna 25%
Ivar Stenberg 10%
Viggo Björck 2.6%
Adam Novotný 2.1%
$36,390 Vol.
$36,390 Vol.
Apr 30, 2027
Gavin McKenna
25%
Ivar Stenberg
10%
Viggo Björck
3%
Adam Novotný
2%
Nikita Klepov
1%
Maddox Dagenais
1%
Carson Carels
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
1%
Chase Reid
1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Alberts Smits
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Tommy Bleyl
<1%
Markus Ruck
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Gavin McKenna 25%
Ivar Stenberg 10%
Viggo Björck 2.6%
Adam Novotný 2.1%
$36,390 Vol.
$36,390 Vol.
Apr 30, 2027
Gavin McKenna
$17,611 Vol.
25%
Ivar Stenberg
$5,778 Vol.
10%
Viggo Björck
$2,773 Vol.
3%
Adam Novotný
$3,290 Vol.
2%
Nikita Klepov
$621 Vol.
1%
Maddox Dagenais
$180 Vol.
1%
Carson Carels
$1,407 Vol.
1%
Keaton Verhoeff
$202 Vol.
1%
Chase Reid
$614 Vol.
1%
Caleb Malhotra
$49 Vol.
<1%
Alberts Smits
$524 Vol.
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
$311 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Lin
$140 Vol.
<1%
JP Hurlbert
$312 Vol.
<1%
Ilya Morozov
$20 Vol.
<1%
Mathis Preston
$110 Vol.
<1%
William Hakansson
$110 Vol.
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
$40 Vol.
<1%
Tommy Bleyl
$1,053 Vol.
<1%
Markus Ruck
$20 Vol.
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
$44 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Command
$461 Vol.
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
$140 Vol.
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
$140 Vol.
<1%
Oscar Hemming
$40 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
$40 Vol.
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
$140 Vol.
<1%
Elton Hermansson
$40 Vol.
<1%
Liam Ruck
$140 Vol.
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NHL Draft class has produced a tightly contested Calder Trophy market, with trader consensus clustering probabilities among a deep group of first-round talents. Gavin McKenna, the No. 1 overall pick by the Maple Leafs after a strong NCAA freshman season at Penn State, sits atop the field at 24.5% but faces immediate competition from players like Ivar Stenberg and others with varying levels of pro experience. Porter Martone’s limited prior NHL action and several additional prospects’ projected top-six or power-play roles add to the uncertainty, as training camp battles, ice-time allocation, and adaptation to the league will determine outcomes in this wide-open rookie race.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$36,390Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NHL Draft class has produced a tightly contested Calder Trophy market, with trader consensus clustering probabilities among a deep group of first-round talents. Gavin McKenna, the No. 1 overall pick by the Maple Leafs after a strong NCAA freshman season at Penn State, sits atop the field at 24.5% but faces immediate competition from players like Ivar Stenberg and others with varying levels of pro experience. Porter Martone’s limited prior NHL action and several additional prospects’ projected top-six or power-play roles add to the uncertainty, as training camp battles, ice-time allocation, and adaptation to the league will determine outcomes in this wide-open rookie race.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,390Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NHL Draft class has produced a tightly contested Calder Trophy market, with trader consensus clustering probabilities among a deep group of first-round talents. Gavin McKenna, the No. 1 overall pick by the Maple Leafs after a strong NCAA freshman season at Penn State, sits atop the field at 24.5% but faces immediate competition from players like Ivar Stenberg and others with varying levels of pro experience. Porter Martone’s limited prior NHL action and several additional prospects’ projected top-six or power-play roles add to the uncertainty, as training camp battles, ice-time allocation, and adaptation to the league will determine outcomes in this wide-open rookie race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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