**Dexter Lawrence’s April 2026 trade from the New York Giants to the Cincinnati Bengals for the No. 10 overall pick, followed by a one-year, $28 million extension, established him as a core interior defensive lineman on Cincinnati’s roster well before training camp.** The three-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle had requested the move after contract talks stalled with New York, and the Bengals added him alongside other defensive line reinforcements to address run defense and pass-rush needs. Official roster confirmation, active participation in preseason, and his documented Week 1 contributions (including a quarterback hit in the win over Tampa Bay) lock in his status. The Bengals’ win-now approach and Lawrence’s multi-year commitment through 2028 underpin the near-certain trader consensus reflected in the 99.9% implied probability for Cincinnati. Realistically, only an unprecedented post-roster-cut transaction, injury-related placement on the reserve list immediately before kickoff, or league suspension could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCincinnati Bengals 100.0%
Arizona Cardinals <1%
Atlanta Falcons <1%
Baltimore Ravens <1%
$336,427 Vol.
$336,427 Vol.
Arizona Cardinals
No
Atlanta Falcons
No
Baltimore Ravens
No
Buffalo Bills
No
Carolina Panthers
No
Chicago Bears
No
Cincinnati Bengals
Yes
Cleveland Browns
No
Dallas Cowboys
No
Denver Broncos
No
Detroit Lions
No
Green Bay Packers
No
Houston Texans
No
Indianapolis Colts
No
Jacksonville Jaguars
No
Kansas City Chiefs
No
Las Vegas Raiders
No
Los Angeles Chargers
No
Los Angeles Rams
No
Miami Dolphins
No
Minnesota Vikings
No
New England Patriots
No
New Orleans Saints
No
New York Giants
No
New York Jets
No
Philadelphia Eagles
No
Pittsburgh Steelers
No
San Francisco 49ers
No
Seattle Seahawks
No
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No
Tennessee Titans
No
Washington Commanders
No
Cincinnati Bengals 100.0%
Arizona Cardinals <1%
Atlanta Falcons <1%
Baltimore Ravens <1%
$336,427 Vol.
$336,427 Vol.
Arizona Cardinals
No
Atlanta Falcons
No
Baltimore Ravens
No
Buffalo Bills
No
Carolina Panthers
No
Chicago Bears
No
Cincinnati Bengals
Yes
Cleveland Browns
No
Dallas Cowboys
No
Denver Broncos
No
Detroit Lions
No
Green Bay Packers
No
Houston Texans
No
Indianapolis Colts
No
Jacksonville Jaguars
No
Kansas City Chiefs
No
Las Vegas Raiders
No
Los Angeles Chargers
No
Los Angeles Rams
No
Miami Dolphins
No
Minnesota Vikings
No
New England Patriots
No
New Orleans Saints
No
New York Giants
No
New York Jets
No
Philadelphia Eagles
No
Pittsburgh Steelers
No
San Francisco 49ers
No
Seattle Seahawks
No
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No
Tennessee Titans
No
Washington Commanders
No
If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Dexter Lawrence’s April 2026 trade from the New York Giants to the Cincinnati Bengals for the No. 10 overall pick, followed by a one-year, $28 million extension, established him as a core interior defensive lineman on Cincinnati’s roster well before training camp.** The three-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle had requested the move after contract talks stalled with New York, and the Bengals added him alongside other defensive line reinforcements to address run defense and pass-rush needs. Official roster confirmation, active participation in preseason, and his documented Week 1 contributions (including a quarterback hit in the win over Tampa Bay) lock in his status. The Bengals’ win-now approach and Lawrence’s multi-year commitment through 2028 underpin the near-certain trader consensus reflected in the 99.9% implied probability for Cincinnati. Realistically, only an unprecedented post-roster-cut transaction, injury-related placement on the reserve list immediately before kickoff, or league suspension could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions