The confirmed April 2026 trade sending Dexter Lawrence from the Giants to the Bengals for the No. 10 overall pick, paired with his one-year extension, has cemented trader consensus around Cincinnati. Bengals officials moved aggressively to bolster an interior defensive line that surrendered the most rushing yards in the league the prior season, while Lawrence sought a fresh start after contract talks stalled in New York. As of early August, no roster moves, injuries, or league actions have altered his status, leaving the Bengals with overwhelming implied probability for Week 1. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen trade, suspension, or major injury before the regular-season opener, outcomes that have not materialized in the months since the deal closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCincinnati Bengals 96.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.0%
Kansas City Chiefs <1%
New England Patriots <1%
$313,042 Vol.
$313,042 Vol.
Cincinnati Bengals
96%
Jacksonville Jaguars
1%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
New England Patriots
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Las Vegas Raiders
1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals 96.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.0%
Kansas City Chiefs <1%
New England Patriots <1%
$313,042 Vol.
$313,042 Vol.
Cincinnati Bengals
96%
Jacksonville Jaguars
1%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
New England Patriots
1%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Las Vegas Raiders
1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The confirmed April 2026 trade sending Dexter Lawrence from the Giants to the Bengals for the No. 10 overall pick, paired with his one-year extension, has cemented trader consensus around Cincinnati. Bengals officials moved aggressively to bolster an interior defensive line that surrendered the most rushing yards in the league the prior season, while Lawrence sought a fresh start after contract talks stalled in New York. As of early August, no roster moves, injuries, or league actions have altered his status, leaving the Bengals with overwhelming implied probability for Week 1. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen trade, suspension, or major injury before the regular-season opener, outcomes that have not materialized in the months since the deal closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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