Mark Selby’s commanding run to the 2026 China Open semifinals, including a dominant win over defending champion Neil Robertson, has anchored trader consensus around his 56.5% implied probability as the leading contender. The tightly grouped probabilities among remaining contenders reflect a deep field still featuring strong in-form players such as Kyren Wilson, John Higgins, and several Chinese talents with home-crowd support and solid recent ranking-event results. Multiple early exits of high-profile names, including Shaun Murphy and David Gilbert, have concentrated probability on those advancing deep while underscoring the event’s best-of-11 format volatility through the quarterfinals. Schedule factors like rest advantages and venue conditions at the Riverside Sports Centre continue to shape outcomes, keeping the race competitive among established ranking-event performers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedShaun Murphy 74%
Liu Hongyu 74%
Ding Junhui 74%
Hossein Vafaei 74%
Shaun Murphy
74%
Liu Hongyu
74%
Ding Junhui
74%
Hossein Vafaei
74%
John Higgins
74%
Stuart Bingham
74%
Chris Wakelin
74%
Tom Ford
74%
Zhang Anda
74%
Xiao Guodong
74%
Si Jiahui
74%
Pang Junxu
74%
Kyren Wilson
74%
Aaron Hill
74%
Mark Williams
50%
Wu Shengguang
50%
Mark Allen
50%
Wu Yize
48%
Mark Selby
44%
Zhou Yuelong
42%
Noppon Saengkham
38%
David Gilbert
37%
Liu Linhao
37%
Neil Robertson
35%
Ronnie O'Sullivan
18%
Anthony McGill
10%
Judd Trump
10%
Jackson Page
10%
Jiang Jun
10%
Matthew Selt
8%
Barry Hawkins
8%
Chang Bingyu
5%
Yao Pengcheng
3%
Zhao Xintong
<1%
Shaun Murphy 74%
Liu Hongyu 74%
Ding Junhui 74%
Hossein Vafaei 74%
Shaun Murphy
74%
Liu Hongyu
74%
Ding Junhui
74%
Hossein Vafaei
74%
John Higgins
74%
Stuart Bingham
74%
Chris Wakelin
74%
Tom Ford
74%
Zhang Anda
74%
Xiao Guodong
74%
Si Jiahui
74%
Pang Junxu
74%
Kyren Wilson
74%
Aaron Hill
74%
Mark Williams
50%
Wu Shengguang
50%
Mark Allen
50%
Wu Yize
48%
Mark Selby
44%
Zhou Yuelong
42%
Noppon Saengkham
38%
David Gilbert
37%
Liu Linhao
37%
Neil Robertson
35%
Ronnie O'Sullivan
18%
Anthony McGill
10%
Judd Trump
10%
Jackson Page
10%
Jiang Jun
10%
Matthew Selt
8%
Barry Hawkins
8%
Chang Bingyu
5%
Yao Pengcheng
3%
Zhao Xintong
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the World Snooker Tour (wst.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the World Snooker Tour (wst.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Selby’s commanding run to the 2026 China Open semifinals, including a dominant win over defending champion Neil Robertson, has anchored trader consensus around his 56.5% implied probability as the leading contender. The tightly grouped probabilities among remaining contenders reflect a deep field still featuring strong in-form players such as Kyren Wilson, John Higgins, and several Chinese talents with home-crowd support and solid recent ranking-event results. Multiple early exits of high-profile names, including Shaun Murphy and David Gilbert, have concentrated probability on those advancing deep while underscoring the event’s best-of-11 format volatility through the quarterfinals. Schedule factors like rest advantages and venue conditions at the Riverside Sports Centre continue to shape outcomes, keeping the race competitive among established ranking-event performers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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