Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos and Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos show President Trump's approval rating dipping to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, fueling trader consensus at 68% odds for a further decline this week. Surging gas prices and inflation, largely blamed on the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with 65% of voters citing economic pocketbook pain per Quinnipiac. Youth polls like Yale's highlight vehement opposition amid cost-of-living worries, while historical midterm patterns amplify risks as 2026 elections near. Traders price in persistent downward pressure absent major policy reversals or de-escalation signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Up
$4,785 交易量
$4,785 交易量
2026-05-09
Up
$4,785 交易量
$4,785 交易量
2026-05-09
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos and Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos show President Trump's approval rating dipping to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, fueling trader consensus at 68% odds for a further decline this week. Surging gas prices and inflation, largely blamed on the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with 65% of voters citing economic pocketbook pain per Quinnipiac. Youth polls like Yale's highlight vehement opposition amid cost-of-living worries, while historical midterm patterns amplify risks as 2026 elections near. Traders price in persistent downward pressure absent major policy reversals or de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$4,785結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Down
無爭議
最終結果: Down
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos and Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos show President Trump's approval rating dipping to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, fueling trader consensus at 68% odds for a further decline this week. Surging gas prices and inflation, largely blamed on the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with 65% of voters citing economic pocketbook pain per Quinnipiac. Youth polls like Yale's highlight vehement opposition amid cost-of-living worries, while historical midterm patterns amplify risks as 2026 elections near. Traders price in persistent downward pressure absent major policy reversals or de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$4,785結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Down
無爭議
最終結果: Down
Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos and Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos show President Trump's approval rating dipping to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, fueling trader consensus at 68% odds for a further decline this week. Surging gas prices and inflation, largely blamed on the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with 65% of voters citing economic pocketbook pain per Quinnipiac. Youth polls like Yale's highlight vehement opposition amid cost-of-living worries, while historical midterm patterns amplify risks as 2026 elections near. Traders price in persistent downward pressure absent major policy reversals or de-escalation signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions