The 2026–27 UEFA Nations League A league phase opens later this month across four groups of four, with the bottom-placed side in each group facing direct relegation to League B while third-placed teams enter March 2027 play-offs. Recent composition changes brought promoted sides including Czech Republic, England, Greece, Norway, Turkey, and Wales into League A after the 2024–25 cycle, replacing relegated teams such as Bosnia and Herzegovina, Hungary, Israel, Poland, Scotland, and Switzerland. Within the groups, the fourth-placed teams—Turkey alongside France and Italy, Greece with Germany and the Netherlands, Czechia facing Spain, Croatia, and England, and Wales against Portugal, Denmark, and Norway—represent the clearest relegation candidates based on squad depth, recent international form, and historical head-to-head records. No league matches have been played yet, so current pricing reflects pre-season assessments of team strength and schedule difficulty rather than in-competition results.