President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Apr 19, 2026
Make America Great Again
70%
Transgender
71%
Epic Fury
78%
Sleepy Joe
67%
Ass
47%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
69%
Hezbollah
63%
Christmas
41%
Boy oh boy
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
28%
AOC
29%
Losing MAGA
29%
All over the place
45%
Jesus
36%
Two week / two-week
69%
Gulf of America
30%
See what happens
70%
Six Seven
41%
Peanut
41%
Central Casting
48%
Regarded
27%
Crypto / Bitcoin
52%
No No No
56%
Gay for Palestine
22%
Nuke
40%
Melania
57%
Four to Six
49%
$188 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$16 Vol.
70%
Transgender
$50 Vol.
71%
Epic Fury
$93 Vol.
78%
Sleepy Joe
$3 Vol.
67%
Ass
$13 Vol.
47%
Sucker / Loser
$0 Vol.
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
$0 Vol.
69%
Hezbollah
$3 Vol.
63%
Christmas
$0 Vol.
41%
Boy oh boy
$0 Vol.
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
$0 Vol.
28%
AOC
$0 Vol.
29%
Losing MAGA
$0 Vol.
29%
All over the place
$0 Vol.
45%
Jesus
$4 Vol.
36%
Two week / two-week
$0 Vol.
69%
Gulf of America
$0 Vol.
30%
See what happens
$0 Vol.
70%
Six Seven
$0 Vol.
41%
Peanut
$5 Vol.
41%
Central Casting
$0 Vol.
48%
Regarded
$0 Vol.
27%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$0 Vol.
52%
No No No
$0 Vol.
56%
Gay for Palestine
$0 Vol.
22%
Nuke
$0 Vol.
40%
Melania
$0 Vol.
57%
Four to Six
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$188End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$188End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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