**NAVI's current CS2 lineup—b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and Makazze under coach b1ad3—has shown stability after the late-2025 integration of academy prospect Makazze, delivering strong results including a StarLadder title and deep Major runs.** Recent elimination from IEM Cologne 2026 (June 2026) exposed inconsistency in high-stakes maps, prompting b1ad3 to note in post-event comments that roster adjustments will be reviewed in the off-season if the group cannot sustain trophy contention, though he emphasized “no obvious reason” for immediate moves and that decisions remain undecided. This creates tight balance around the 53.5% “No” price ahead of July. The short timeframe limits realistic roster activity, contracts and buyouts add friction, and the organization prefers deliberate evaluation over rushed changes. Trader sentiment reflects the team’s proven baseline form offset by recurring post-Major speculation (e.g., IGL or entry-fragger tweaks) without confirmed leaks or trials. A verified signing, benching, or official statement before the deadline would quickly favor “Yes,” while sustained quiet or explicit confirmation of continuity through early summer would reinforce “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$311 Vol.
$311 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$311 Vol.
$311 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**NAVI's current CS2 lineup—b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and Makazze under coach b1ad3—has shown stability after the late-2025 integration of academy prospect Makazze, delivering strong results including a StarLadder title and deep Major runs.** Recent elimination from IEM Cologne 2026 (June 2026) exposed inconsistency in high-stakes maps, prompting b1ad3 to note in post-event comments that roster adjustments will be reviewed in the off-season if the group cannot sustain trophy contention, though he emphasized “no obvious reason” for immediate moves and that decisions remain undecided.
This creates tight balance around the 53.5% “No” price ahead of July. The short timeframe limits realistic roster activity, contracts and buyouts add friction, and the organization prefers deliberate evaluation over rushed changes. Trader sentiment reflects the team’s proven baseline form offset by recurring post-Major speculation (e.g., IGL or entry-fragger tweaks) without confirmed leaks or trials.
A verified signing, benching, or official statement before the deadline would quickly favor “Yes,” while sustained quiet or explicit confirmation of continuity through early summer would reinforce “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$311End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**NAVI's current CS2 lineup—b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and Makazze under coach b1ad3—has shown stability after the late-2025 integration of academy prospect Makazze, delivering strong results including a StarLadder title and deep Major runs.** Recent elimination from IEM Cologne 2026 (June 2026) exposed inconsistency in high-stakes maps, prompting b1ad3 to note in post-event comments that roster adjustments will be reviewed in the off-season if the group cannot sustain trophy contention, though he emphasized “no obvious reason” for immediate moves and that decisions remain undecided.
This creates tight balance around the 53.5% “No” price ahead of July. The short timeframe limits realistic roster activity, contracts and buyouts add friction, and the organization prefers deliberate evaluation over rushed changes. Trader sentiment reflects the team’s proven baseline form offset by recurring post-Major speculation (e.g., IGL or entry-fragger tweaks) without confirmed leaks or trials.
A verified signing, benching, or official statement before the deadline would quickly favor “Yes,” while sustained quiet or explicit confirmation of continuity through early summer would reinforce “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful, and makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$311End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**NAVI's current CS2 lineup—b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and Makazze under coach b1ad3—has shown stability after the late-2025 integration of academy prospect Makazze, delivering strong results including a StarLadder title and deep Major runs.** Recent elimination from IEM Cologne 2026 (June 2026) exposed inconsistency in high-stakes maps, prompting b1ad3 to note in post-event comments that roster adjustments will be reviewed in the off-season if the group cannot sustain trophy contention, though he emphasized “no obvious reason” for immediate moves and that decisions remain undecided. This creates tight balance around the 53.5% “No” price ahead of July. The short timeframe limits realistic roster activity, contracts and buyouts add friction, and the organization prefers deliberate evaluation over rushed changes. Trader sentiment reflects the team’s proven baseline form offset by recurring post-Major speculation (e.g., IGL or entry-fragger tweaks) without confirmed leaks or trials. A verified signing, benching, or official statement before the deadline would quickly favor “Yes,” while sustained quiet or explicit confirmation of continuity through early summer would reinforce “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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