Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal crimes, while Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida stems from a state reckless driving charge ineligible for federal intervention. Bodycam footage released this week captured Woods, amid sobriety tests after his rollover crash, claiming distraction from a call to President Trump—his longtime golfing friend—but revealed no federal entanglement, only hydrocodone pills linked to Woods' chronic injuries from multiple back surgeries and a 2021 leg fracture. Trump's sympathetic comments noting Woods' "life of pain" and rehab focus have quelled pardon rumors, especially after debunked viral fakes, as the 15-time major winner steps away from PGA Tour competition, including skipping the 2026 Masters, to prioritize health recovery amid ongoing mobility issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal crimes, while Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida stems from a state reckless driving charge ineligible for federal intervention. Bodycam footage released this week captured Woods, amid sobriety tests after his rollover crash, claiming distraction from a call to President Trump—his longtime golfing friend—but revealed no federal entanglement, only hydrocodone pills linked to Woods' chronic injuries from multiple back surgeries and a 2021 leg fracture. Trump's sympathetic comments noting Woods' "life of pain" and rehab focus have quelled pardon rumors, especially after debunked viral fakes, as the 15-time major winner steps away from PGA Tour competition, including skipping the 2026 Masters, to prioritize health recovery amid ongoing mobility issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Volume
$4,439End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal crimes, while Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida stems from a state reckless driving charge ineligible for federal intervention. Bodycam footage released this week captured Woods, amid sobriety tests after his rollover crash, claiming distraction from a call to President Trump—his longtime golfing friend—but revealed no federal entanglement, only hydrocodone pills linked to Woods' chronic injuries from multiple back surgeries and a 2021 leg fracture. Trump's sympathetic comments noting Woods' "life of pain" and rehab focus have quelled pardon rumors, especially after debunked viral fakes, as the 15-time major winner steps away from PGA Tour competition, including skipping the 2026 Masters, to prioritize health recovery amid ongoing mobility issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,539End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the legal reality that presidential pardons apply only to federal crimes, while Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida stems from a state reckless driving charge ineligible for federal intervention. Bodycam footage released this week captured Woods, amid sobriety tests after his rollover crash, claiming distraction from a call to President Trump—his longtime golfing friend—but revealed no federal entanglement, only hydrocodone pills linked to Woods' chronic injuries from multiple back surgeries and a 2021 leg fracture. Trump's sympathetic comments noting Woods' "life of pain" and rehab focus have quelled pardon rumors, especially after debunked viral fakes, as the 15-time major winner steps away from PGA Tour competition, including skipping the 2026 Masters, to prioritize health recovery amid ongoing mobility issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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