Qatar leads the market for last place in 2026 World Cup Group B at 65% implied probability due to its lowest FIFA ranking among the quartet (56th), limited squad depth, and history of early exits. The side drew its opener but faces Canada next and has the weakest projected results against Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Switzerland sits at the opposite end with strong recent form and ranking (around 19th), while Canada benefits from co-host status and home fixtures. Bosnia occupies a middle tier with realistic points potential. These trader consensus prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing roster quality, head-to-head edges, and remaining schedule strength after the opening round of draws.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQatar 100.0%
Canada <1%
Switzerland <1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina <1%
$54,001 Vol.
$54,001 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Canada
No
Switzerland
No
Qatar
Yes
Bosnia and Herzegovina
No
Qatar 100.0%
Canada <1%
Switzerland <1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina <1%
$54,001 Vol.
$54,001 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Canada
$3,907 Vol.
No
Switzerland
$11,802 Vol.
No
Qatar
$31,626 Vol.
Yes
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$6,667 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in USA.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar leads the market for last place in 2026 World Cup Group B at 65% implied probability due to its lowest FIFA ranking among the quartet (56th), limited squad depth, and history of early exits. The side drew its opener but faces Canada next and has the weakest projected results against Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Switzerland sits at the opposite end with strong recent form and ranking (around 19th), while Canada benefits from co-host status and home fixtures. Bosnia occupies a middle tier with realistic points potential. These trader consensus prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing roster quality, head-to-head edges, and remaining schedule strength after the opening round of draws.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$54,001End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in USA.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar leads the market for last place in 2026 World Cup Group B at 65% implied probability due to its lowest FIFA ranking among the quartet (56th), limited squad depth, and history of early exits. The side drew its opener but faces Canada next and has the weakest projected results against Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Switzerland sits at the opposite end with strong recent form and ranking (around 19th), while Canada benefits from co-host status and home fixtures. Bosnia occupies a middle tier with realistic points potential. These trader consensus prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing roster quality, head-to-head edges, and remaining schedule strength after the opening round of draws.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54,001End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Qatar leads the market for last place in 2026 World Cup Group B at 65% implied probability due to its lowest FIFA ranking among the quartet (56th), limited squad depth, and history of early exits. The side drew its opener but faces Canada next and has the weakest projected results against Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Switzerland sits at the opposite end with strong recent form and ranking (around 19th), while Canada benefits from co-host status and home fixtures. Bosnia occupies a middle tier with realistic points potential. These trader consensus prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing roster quality, head-to-head edges, and remaining schedule strength after the opening round of draws.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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