Recent results in Group G have tightened the contest for last place, with New Zealand, Egypt, Iran, and Belgium each earning a single point from opening draws. The All Whites and Iran played out a high-scoring 2-2 stalemate while Belgium and Egypt shared a 1-1 result, leaving all four sides level on points and goal difference entering the remaining fixtures. New Zealand’s lower FIFA ranking and limited depth create the highest implied probability for finishing bottom, yet Egypt’s defensive organization and Iran’s counterattacking resilience keep the bottom-three battle wide open. With two rounds left, head-to-head results, goal differential, and any late injuries or rotation decisions among Belgium’s experienced squad will likely decide which team ends with the fewest points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand 100.0%
Belgium <1%
Iran <1%
Egypt <1%
$44,722 Vol.
$44,722 Vol.
Belgium
No
Iran
No
Egypt
No
New Zealand
Yes
New Zealand 100.0%
Belgium <1%
Iran <1%
Egypt <1%
$44,722 Vol.
$44,722 Vol.
Belgium
No
Iran
No
Egypt
No
New Zealand
Yes
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent results in Group G have tightened the contest for last place, with New Zealand, Egypt, Iran, and Belgium each earning a single point from opening draws. The All Whites and Iran played out a high-scoring 2-2 stalemate while Belgium and Egypt shared a 1-1 result, leaving all four sides level on points and goal difference entering the remaining fixtures. New Zealand’s lower FIFA ranking and limited depth create the highest implied probability for finishing bottom, yet Egypt’s defensive organization and Iran’s counterattacking resilience keep the bottom-three battle wide open. With two rounds left, head-to-head results, goal differential, and any late injuries or rotation decisions among Belgium’s experienced squad will likely decide which team ends with the fewest points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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