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Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Group I Second Place

icon for World Cup: Group I Second Place
Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Group I Second Place

Norway 100.0%

France <1%

Senegal <1%

Iraq <1%

Polymarket

$17,580 Vol.

Norway 100.0%

France <1%

Senegal <1%

Iraq <1%

Polymarket

$17,580 Vol.

France

$5,066 Vol.

No

Senegal

$1,938 Vol.

No

Norway

$9,920 Vol.

Yes

Iraq

$656 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Norway and France opened the 2026 World Cup Group I with convincing victories—Norway routing Iraq 4-1 behind Erling Haaland and France defeating Senegal 3-1—leaving both sides level on points and goal difference after Matchday 1. Senegal and Iraq trail winless, intensifying focus on the remaining fixtures among these four teams. Norway’s attacking firepower and recent qualifying momentum position it as a strong contender for second, yet France’s squad depth and historical tournament pedigree keep its second-place odds competitive. Senegal’s AFCON pedigree and physical style offer realistic upset potential against either European side, while Iraq faces the steepest climb. With two matchdays left and several plausible outcomes for the runner-up spot, trader pricing reflects a tightly contested race where small swings in results or goal difference can reorder the table.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,580
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Norway and France opened the 2026 World Cup Group I with convincing victories—Norway routing Iraq 4-1 behind Erling Haaland and France defeating Senegal 3-1—leaving both sides level on points and goal difference after Matchday 1. Senegal and Iraq trail winless, intensifying focus on the remaining fixtures among these four teams. Norway’s attacking firepower and recent qualifying momentum position it as a strong contender for second, yet France’s squad depth and historical tournament pedigree keep its second-place odds competitive. Senegal’s AFCON pedigree and physical style offer realistic upset potential against either European side, while Iraq faces the steepest climb. With two matchdays left and several plausible outcomes for the runner-up spot, trader pricing reflects a tightly contested race where small swings in results or goal difference can reorder the table.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,580
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Group I Second Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Norway" at 100%, followed by "France" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Group I Second Place" has generated $17.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Group I Second Place," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Group I Second Place" is "Norway" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Group I Second Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.