Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38m-42m 23%
54m-58m 23%
42m-46m 16%
46m-50m 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
<30m
5%
30m-34m
3%
34m-38m
6%
38m-42m
23%
42m-46m
16%
46m-50m
13%
50m-54m
11%
54m-58m
23%
58m+
8%
38m-42m 23%
54m-58m 23%
42m-46m 16%
46m-50m 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
<30m
$25 Vol.
5%
30m-34m
$190 Vol.
3%
34m-38m
$435 Vol.
6%
38m-42m
$235 Vol.
23%
42m-46m
$18 Vol.
16%
46m-50m
$0 Vol.
13%
50m-54m
$40 Vol.
11%
54m-58m
$25 Vol.
23%
58m+
$20 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
Volume
$988End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
Volume
$988End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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