Skip to main content
icon for World Cup: Group J Last Place

World Cup: Group J Last Place

icon for World Cup: Group J Last Place

World Cup: Group J Last Place

Jordan 100.0%

Argentina <1%

Austria <1%

Algeria <1%

Polymarket

$25,025 Vol.

Jordan 100.0%

Argentina <1%

Austria <1%

Algeria <1%

Polymarket

$25,025 Vol.

Argentina

$944 Vol.

No

Austria

$1,034 Vol.

No

Algeria

$4,972 Vol.

No

Jordan

$18,075 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan's World Cup debut and opening 1-3 loss to Austria have driven trader consensus toward a 74% implied probability it finishes last in Group J, well ahead of Algeria. The 63rd-ranked side faces defending champions Argentina next and lacks the experience or depth of its 28th-ranked opponent from CAF. Algeria's 0-3 defeat to Argentina left it on zero points with the worst goal difference, yet its stronger historical record and squad quality keep its last-place odds near 20%. Austria and Argentina sit on three points apiece after matchday one, rendering their probabilities for bottom spot negligible. The June 22 Jordan-Algeria matchup offers limited scope to alter the current hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,025
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan's World Cup debut and opening 1-3 loss to Austria have driven trader consensus toward a 74% implied probability it finishes last in Group J, well ahead of Algeria. The 63rd-ranked side faces defending champions Argentina next and lacks the experience or depth of its 28th-ranked opponent from CAF. Algeria's 0-3 defeat to Argentina left it on zero points with the worst goal difference, yet its stronger historical record and squad quality keep its last-place odds near 20%. Austria and Argentina sit on three points apiece after matchday one, rendering their probabilities for bottom spot negligible. The June 22 Jordan-Algeria matchup offers limited scope to alter the current hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,025
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Group J Last Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan" at 100%, followed by "Argentina" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Group J Last Place" has generated $25K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Group J Last Place," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Group J Last Place" is "Jordan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Argentina" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Group J Last Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.