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Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination
Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination

Round of 16 100.0%

Group Stage <1%

Round of 32 <1%

Quarterfinals <1%

Polymarket

$411,587 Vol.

Round of 16 100.0%

Group Stage <1%

Round of 32 <1%

Quarterfinals <1%

Polymarket

$411,587 Vol.

Group Stage

$4,030 Vol.

No

Round of 32

$43,843 Vol.

No

Round of 16

$140,558 Vol.

Yes

Quarterfinals

$59,083 Vol.

No

Semifinals

$81,459 Vol.

No

Final

$44,002 Vol.

No

Champion

$38,611 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-hosts with automatic qualification and strong home advantage at Estadio Azteca, where altitude and fan support have historically boosted results. A 2-0 opening win over South Africa in Group A has reinforced trader confidence in advancement, though the side faces South Korea next and Czech Republic later. Under Javier Aguirre, the pragmatic approach emphasizes pressing and transitions, with Raúl Jiménez providing experience alongside emerging talents like Gilberto Mora and veterans such as Guillermo Ochoa. Mexico’s FIFA ranking near 13th and recent friendlies reflect improved organization, yet repeated Round of 16 exits in prior tournaments and the expanded field’s tougher knockout path keep deeper runs at lower implied probabilities in the consensus pricing.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$411,587
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-hosts with automatic qualification and strong home advantage at Estadio Azteca, where altitude and fan support have historically boosted results. A 2-0 opening win over South Africa in Group A has reinforced trader confidence in advancement, though the side faces South Korea next and Czech Republic later. Under Javier Aguirre, the pragmatic approach emphasizes pressing and transitions, with Raúl Jiménez providing experience alongside emerging talents like Gilberto Mora and veterans such as Guillermo Ochoa. Mexico’s FIFA ranking near 13th and recent friendlies reflect improved organization, yet repeated Round of 16 exits in prior tournaments and the expanded field’s tougher knockout path keep deeper runs at lower implied probabilities in the consensus pricing.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$411,587
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 16" at 100%, followed by "Group Stage" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination" has generated $411.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 16" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Group Stage" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.