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World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

$6,036,391 Vol.

Polymarket

$6,036,391 Vol.

Polymarket

Cape Verde

$67,575 Vol.

No

Croatia

$72,252 Vol.

No

Norway

$226,313 Vol.

Yes

Iraq

$1,001 Vol.

No

Algeria

$31,730 Vol.

No

Uzbekistan

$5,520 Vol.

No

Argentina

$606,051 Vol.

Yes

Austria

$29,366 Vol.

No

Portugal

$490,822 Vol.

No

Colombia

$232,088 Vol.

No

Ghana

$25,147 Vol.

No

Mexico

$258,181 Vol.

No

Sweden

$16,536 Vol.

No

South Korea

$30,706 Vol.

No

Ivory Coast

$46,827 Vol.

No

Curacao

$9,114 Vol.

No

Tunisia

$11,620 Vol.

No

Jordan

$307 Vol.

No

South Africa

$12,240 Vol.

No

Czechia

$20,914 Vol.

No

Germany

$65,931 Vol.

No

Canada

$141,767 Vol.

No

Haiti

$370 Vol.

No

Spain

$436,850 Vol.

Yes

England

$400,474 Vol.

Yes

Switzerland

$152,294 Vol.

Yes

Qatar

$1,488 Vol.

No

Brazil

$206,742 Vol.

No

Senegal

$66,702 Vol.

No

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$21,692 Vol.

No

Saudi Arabia

$4,152 Vol.

No

France

$541,124 Vol.

Yes

Morocco

$307,653 Vol.

Yes

Netherlands

$156,371 Vol.

No

Panama

$633 Vol.

No

Scotland

$5,667 Vol.

No

Turkiye

$9,525 Vol.

No

USA

$376,855 Vol.

No

Australia

$53,544 Vol.

No

Paraguay

$91,844 Vol.

No

Japan

$110,362 Vol.

No

New Zealand

$2,188 Vol.

No

Uruguay

$132,780 Vol.

No

Ecuador

$64,411 Vol.

No

Egypt

$242,433 Vol.

No

Belgium

$220,666 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$8,158 Vol.

No

DR Congo

$19,406 Vol.

No

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format, with 12 groups of four advancing the top two plus eight best third-placed sides to a 32-team knockout stage, has intensified early group-stage competition as of mid-June 2026. Standings after matchday one show tight races in several groups, including draws across Groups G and H that leave qualification wide open, while early winners like Mexico and South Korea in Group A hold narrow leads. Traditional powers such as Brazil, Germany, England, and Argentina benefit from squad depth and recent international form, though host nations gain from home venues and shorter travel. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures through June 27, potential injuries to star players, and how third-place tiebreakers (goal difference, goals scored) resolve the eight additional knockout berths, with round-of-32 and round-of-16 results determining quarterfinalists by July 11.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,036,391
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format, with 12 groups of four advancing the top two plus eight best third-placed sides to a 32-team knockout stage, has intensified early group-stage competition as of mid-June 2026. Standings after matchday one show tight races in several groups, including draws across Groups G and H that leave qualification wide open, while early winners like Mexico and South Korea in Group A hold narrow leads. Traditional powers such as Brazil, Germany, England, and Argentina benefit from squad depth and recent international form, though host nations gain from home venues and shorter travel. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures through June 27, potential injuries to star players, and how third-place tiebreakers (goal difference, goals scored) resolve the eight additional knockout berths, with round-of-32 and round-of-16 results determining quarterfinalists by July 11.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,036,391
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Norway" at 100%, followed by "Argentina" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" has generated $6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is "Norway" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Argentina" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.