The US men's national team opened its 2026 World Cup campaign with a convincing 4-1 group-stage victory over Paraguay, bolstering trader expectations for advancement under Mauricio Pochettino while capping deeper runs. With a favorable Group D matchup against Australia next and home-soil advantages in a 48-team field, the market reflects consensus that the squad—anchored by Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams, and Weston McKennie—will likely exit in the round of 32 or round of 16. Stronger knockout progression remains possible given recent form and roster depth, yet limited historical success against top European or South American sides keeps later-stage probabilities modest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: USA Stage of Elimination
World Cup: USA Stage of Elimination
Round of 16 100.0%
Group Stage <1%
Round of 32 <1%
Quarterfinals <1%
$412,225 Vol.
$412,225 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
Group Stage
No
Round of 32
No
Round of 16
Yes
Quarterfinals
No
Semifinals
No
Final
No
Champion
No
Round of 16 100.0%
Group Stage <1%
Round of 32 <1%
Quarterfinals <1%
$412,225 Vol.
$412,225 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
Group Stage
$11,566 Vol.
No
Round of 32
$111,068 Vol.
No
Round of 16
$117,217 Vol.
Yes
Quarterfinals
$71,977 Vol.
No
Semifinals
$44,966 Vol.
No
Final
$23,381 Vol.
No
Champion
$32,050 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US men's national team opened its 2026 World Cup campaign with a convincing 4-1 group-stage victory over Paraguay, bolstering trader expectations for advancement under Mauricio Pochettino while capping deeper runs. With a favorable Group D matchup against Australia next and home-soil advantages in a 48-team field, the market reflects consensus that the squad—anchored by Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams, and Weston McKennie—will likely exit in the round of 32 or round of 16. Stronger knockout progression remains possible given recent form and roster depth, yet limited historical success against top European or South American sides keeps later-stage probabilities modest.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$412,225End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US men's national team opened its 2026 World Cup campaign with a convincing 4-1 group-stage victory over Paraguay, bolstering trader expectations for advancement under Mauricio Pochettino while capping deeper runs. With a favorable Group D matchup against Australia next and home-soil advantages in a 48-team field, the market reflects consensus that the squad—anchored by Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams, and Weston McKennie—will likely exit in the round of 32 or round of 16. Stronger knockout progression remains possible given recent form and roster depth, yet limited historical success against top European or South American sides keeps later-stage probabilities modest.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$412,225End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The US men's national team opened its 2026 World Cup campaign with a convincing 4-1 group-stage victory over Paraguay, bolstering trader expectations for advancement under Mauricio Pochettino while capping deeper runs. With a favorable Group D matchup against Australia next and home-soil advantages in a 48-team field, the market reflects consensus that the squad—anchored by Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams, and Weston McKennie—will likely exit in the round of 32 or round of 16. Stronger knockout progression remains possible given recent form and roster depth, yet limited historical success against top European or South American sides keeps later-stage probabilities modest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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