Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2026 Pro Football Draft : 1er choix global
Fernando Mendoza 100.0%
Garrett Nussmeier <1%
Cade Klubnik <1%
Jayden Maiava <1%
$1,358,646 Vol.
$1,358,646 Vol.
Garrett Nussmeier
Non
Cade Klubnik
Non
Jayden Maiava
Non
Matayo Uiagalelei
Non
Francis Mauigoa
Non
Kyron Drones
Non
Aidan Chiles
Non
Jalon Daniels
Non
LaNorris Sellers
Non
Caleb Lomu
Non
Rueben Bain Jr
Non
Miller Moss
Non
Caleb Downs
Non
Jordyn Tyson
Non
Ty Simpson
Non
Nico Iamaleava
Non
Arch Manning
Non
Sam Leavitt
Non
Peter Woods
Non
T.J. Parker
Non
Carson Beck
Non
Spencer Fano
Non
Sawyer Robertson
Non
Raylen Wilson
Non
Conner Weigman
Non
Dante Moore
Non
Cashius Howell
Non
Drew Allar
Non
Fernando Mendoza
Oui
Keldric Faulk
Non
Kadyn Proctor
Non
John Mateer
Non
LT Overton
Non
David Bailey
Non
Taylen Green
Non
Arvell Reese
Non
Fernando Mendoza 100.0%
Garrett Nussmeier <1%
Cade Klubnik <1%
Jayden Maiava <1%
$1,358,646 Vol.
$1,358,646 Vol.
Garrett Nussmeier
Non
Cade Klubnik
Non
Jayden Maiava
Non
Matayo Uiagalelei
Non
Francis Mauigoa
Non
Kyron Drones
Non
Aidan Chiles
Non
Jalon Daniels
Non
LaNorris Sellers
Non
Caleb Lomu
Non
Rueben Bain Jr
Non
Miller Moss
Non
Caleb Downs
Non
Jordyn Tyson
Non
Ty Simpson
Non
Nico Iamaleava
Non
Arch Manning
Non
Sam Leavitt
Non
Peter Woods
Non
T.J. Parker
Non
Carson Beck
Non
Spencer Fano
Non
Sawyer Robertson
Non
Raylen Wilson
Non
Conner Weigman
Non
Dante Moore
Non
Cashius Howell
Non
Drew Allar
Non
Fernando Mendoza
Oui
Keldric Faulk
Non
Kadyn Proctor
Non
John Mateer
Non
LT Overton
Non
David Bailey
Non
Taylen Green
Non
Arvell Reese
Non
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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