Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a "No" outcome at 69.5% implied probability for Beyond Meat beating Q3 earnings consensus, driven primarily by four straight quarters of EPS misses and persistent net revenue declines amid weakening plant-based meat demand. Q2 results showed revenue cratering 40% year-over-year to $27.3 million against $39.6 million estimates, with EPS at -$1.24 versus -$0.39 expected, underscoring top-line pressures from reduced retail velocities and restaurant volumes despite gross margin gains to 5.3% via cost cuts. Consensus now eyes -$0.24 EPS and ~$75 million revenue for the November 7 release, with traders pricing in limited upside from McPlant partnerships or international growth amid high short interest and analyst downgrades. Resolution hinges on surpassing these subdued thresholds, though industry headwinds temper optimism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$203,045 Vol.
$203,045 Vol.
Oui
$203,045 Vol.
$203,045 Vol.
If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Marché ouvert : Feb 16, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a "No" outcome at 69.5% implied probability for Beyond Meat beating Q3 earnings consensus, driven primarily by four straight quarters of EPS misses and persistent net revenue declines amid weakening plant-based meat demand. Q2 results showed revenue cratering 40% year-over-year to $27.3 million against $39.6 million estimates, with EPS at -$1.24 versus -$0.39 expected, underscoring top-line pressures from reduced retail velocities and restaurant volumes despite gross margin gains to 5.3% via cost cuts. Consensus now eyes -$0.24 EPS and ~$75 million revenue for the November 7 release, with traders pricing in limited upside from McPlant partnerships or international growth amid high short interest and analyst downgrades. Resolution hinges on surpassing these subdued thresholds, though industry headwinds temper optimism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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