Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for Nike to beat Q1 FY2025 earnings per share consensus of $0.58, reflecting optimism around aggressive cost-cutting measures and a $2 billion savings target outlined in the recent turnaround plan under new CEO Elliott Hill. Despite projected 10% revenue decline to $11.8 billion amid China weakness and inventory overhang, Nike's historical 75% EPS beat rate over the past eight quarters bolsters sentiment, with traders wagering real capital on margin expansion from reduced expenses and ongoing $12 billion share repurchase authorization. Key catalyst looms October 1 release, where beating lowered bar could spark post-earnings rally above $80 stock threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
Oui
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for Nike to beat Q1 FY2025 earnings per share consensus of $0.58, reflecting optimism around aggressive cost-cutting measures and a $2 billion savings target outlined in the recent turnaround plan under new CEO Elliott Hill. Despite projected 10% revenue decline to $11.8 billion amid China weakness and inventory overhang, Nike's historical 75% EPS beat rate over the past eight quarters bolsters sentiment, with traders wagering real capital on margin expansion from reduced expenses and ongoing $12 billion share repurchase authorization. Key catalyst looms October 1 release, where beating lowered bar could spark post-earnings rally above $80 stock threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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