Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a robust geopolitical risk premium amid escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran frictions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have spiked June 2026 futures (CLM26) to around $94 per barrel as of April 24. Recent EIA data showing unexpected crude inventory builds—+1.9 million barrels for the week ending April 17 and +3.1 million prior—have tempered gains slightly, yet supply fears dominate over OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting May. With Brent near $96, traders eye upcoming weekly EIA releases and potential ceasefire developments as key catalysts that could sustain or pressure the $84 threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 60%
77 $–84 $ 18%
70 $ - 77 $ 11.2%
63 $-70 $ 5.5%
$142,806 Vol.
$142,806 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
2%
42 $-49 $
1%
49 $–56 $
2%
56 $-63 $
3%
63 $-70 $
5%
70 $ - 77 $
11%
77 $–84 $
18%
>84 $
60%
>84 $ 60%
77 $–84 $ 18%
70 $ - 77 $ 11.2%
63 $-70 $ 5.5%
$142,806 Vol.
$142,806 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
$16,526 Vol.
2%
42 $-49 $
$4,902 Vol.
1%
49 $–56 $
$6,137 Vol.
2%
56 $-63 $
$5,841 Vol.
3%
63 $-70 $
$19,300 Vol.
5%
70 $ - 77 $
$8,881 Vol.
11%
77 $–84 $
$11,876 Vol.
18%
>84 $
$69,343 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a robust geopolitical risk premium amid escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran frictions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have spiked June 2026 futures (CLM26) to around $94 per barrel as of April 24. Recent EIA data showing unexpected crude inventory builds—+1.9 million barrels for the week ending April 17 and +3.1 million prior—have tempered gains slightly, yet supply fears dominate over OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting May. With Brent near $96, traders eye upcoming weekly EIA releases and potential ceasefire developments as key catalysts that could sustain or pressure the $84 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$142,806Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a robust geopolitical risk premium amid escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran frictions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have spiked June 2026 futures (CLM26) to around $94 per barrel as of April 24. Recent EIA data showing unexpected crude inventory builds—+1.9 million barrels for the week ending April 17 and +3.1 million prior—have tempered gains slightly, yet supply fears dominate over OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting May. With Brent near $96, traders eye upcoming weekly EIA releases and potential ceasefire developments as key catalysts that could sustain or pressure the $84 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$142,806Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a robust geopolitical risk premium amid escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran frictions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have spiked June 2026 futures (CLM26) to around $94 per barrel as of April 24. Recent EIA data showing unexpected crude inventory builds—+1.9 million barrels for the week ending April 17 and +3.1 million prior—have tempered gains slightly, yet supply fears dominate over OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting May. With Brent near $96, traders eye upcoming weekly EIA releases and potential ceasefire developments as key catalysts that could sustain or pressure the $84 threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes