With the April 30 deadline passed, trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflects Congress's repeated failure to advance an Iran War Powers Resolution, culminating in the Senate's sixth rejection on April 30 by a 50-47 vote along largely partisan lines. Democrats pushed multiple concurrent resolutions—such as H.Con.Res.91 and S.J.Res.104—invoking section 5(c) of the 1973 War Powers Resolution to mandate withdrawal from unauthorized hostilities against Iran amid the 60-day clock on U.S. operations, but Republican majorities blocked discharge motions and floor votes, even as Sen. Susan Collins crossed party lines once. House attempts similarly faltered, like a 213-214 defeat. Realistic shifts now hinge on improbable emergency sessions or veto overrides, unlikely given historical patterns and slim Democratic margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$22,533 Vol.
$22,533 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Oui
$22,533 Vol.
$22,533 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.With the April 30 deadline passed, trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflects Congress's repeated failure to advance an Iran War Powers Resolution, culminating in the Senate's sixth rejection on April 30 by a 50-47 vote along largely partisan lines. Democrats pushed multiple concurrent resolutions—such as H.Con.Res.91 and S.J.Res.104—invoking section 5(c) of the 1973 War Powers Resolution to mandate withdrawal from unauthorized hostilities against Iran amid the 60-day clock on U.S. operations, but Republican majorities blocked discharge motions and floor votes, even as Sen. Susan Collins crossed party lines once. House attempts similarly faltered, like a 213-214 defeat. Realistic shifts now hinge on improbable emergency sessions or veto overrides, unlikely given historical patterns and slim Democratic margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$22,533Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.With the April 30 deadline passed, trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflects Congress's repeated failure to advance an Iran War Powers Resolution, culminating in the Senate's sixth rejection on April 30 by a 50-47 vote along largely partisan lines. Democrats pushed multiple concurrent resolutions—such as H.Con.Res.91 and S.J.Res.104—invoking section 5(c) of the 1973 War Powers Resolution to mandate withdrawal from unauthorized hostilities against Iran amid the 60-day clock on U.S. operations, but Republican majorities blocked discharge motions and floor votes, even as Sen. Susan Collins crossed party lines once. House attempts similarly faltered, like a 213-214 defeat. Realistic shifts now hinge on improbable emergency sessions or veto overrides, unlikely given historical patterns and slim Democratic margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$22,533Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
With the April 30 deadline passed, trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflects Congress's repeated failure to advance an Iran War Powers Resolution, culminating in the Senate's sixth rejection on April 30 by a 50-47 vote along largely partisan lines. Democrats pushed multiple concurrent resolutions—such as H.Con.Res.91 and S.J.Res.104—invoking section 5(c) of the 1973 War Powers Resolution to mandate withdrawal from unauthorized hostilities against Iran amid the 60-day clock on U.S. operations, but Republican majorities blocked discharge motions and floor votes, even as Sen. Susan Collins crossed party lines once. House attempts similarly faltered, like a 213-214 defeat. Realistic shifts now hinge on improbable emergency sessions or veto overrides, unlikely given historical patterns and slim Democratic margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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