Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on Iranian targets and retaliatory actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have occurred without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding established a temporary pause and negotiation framework on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation, but violations led to renewed strikes into September, including U.S. operations on Larak Island and Iranian responses. Congressional efforts via War Powers resolutions seek to constrain further action absent explicit authorization, while the administration emphasizes economic pressure, diplomacy through intermediaries like Qatar and Oman, and incremental de-escalation talks. These dynamics, alongside scheduled diplomatic rounds and regional mediation, shape trader views on the low likelihood of an official declaration by any near-term deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$7,815,194 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
2%
$7,815,194 Vol.
31 décembre
$842,559 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on Iranian targets and retaliatory actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have occurred without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding established a temporary pause and negotiation framework on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation, but violations led to renewed strikes into September, including U.S. operations on Larak Island and Iranian responses. Congressional efforts via War Powers resolutions seek to constrain further action absent explicit authorization, while the administration emphasizes economic pressure, diplomacy through intermediaries like Qatar and Oman, and incremental de-escalation talks. These dynamics, alongside scheduled diplomatic rounds and regional mediation, shape trader views on the low likelihood of an official declaration by any near-term deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,815,194Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on Iranian targets and retaliatory actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have occurred without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding established a temporary pause and negotiation framework on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation, but violations led to renewed strikes into September, including U.S. operations on Larak Island and Iranian responses. Congressional efforts via War Powers resolutions seek to constrain further action absent explicit authorization, while the administration emphasizes economic pressure, diplomacy through intermediaries like Qatar and Oman, and incremental de-escalation talks. These dynamics, alongside scheduled diplomatic rounds and regional mediation, shape trader views on the low likelihood of an official declaration by any near-term deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,815,194Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since February 2026, including strikes on Iranian targets and retaliatory actions around the Strait of Hormuz, have occurred without a formal congressional declaration of war. A June memorandum of understanding established a temporary pause and negotiation framework on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation, but violations led to renewed strikes into September, including U.S. operations on Larak Island and Iranian responses. Congressional efforts via War Powers resolutions seek to constrain further action absent explicit authorization, while the administration emphasizes economic pressure, diplomacy through intermediaries like Qatar and Oman, and incremental de-escalation talks. These dynamics, alongside scheduled diplomatic rounds and regional mediation, shape trader views on the low likelihood of an official declaration by any near-term deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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