Traders' close split between May 19 (33.5%) and no Gemini 3.2 release by May 31 (32.5%) reflects mounting anticipation from fresh leaks showing Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the model selector on May 5, with limited user access but no official announcement from Google DeepMind. This follows Gemini 3's November 2025 debut and 3.1 Pro Preview in February 2026, signaling accelerated large language model iteration amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. Google I/O on May 19-20 looms as the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest major AI reveals, though rollout delays or naming shifts (e.g., to 3.5) could push timelines, keeping "No release by May 31" viable and underscoring prediction market wisdom in pricing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMay 19 34%
No release by May 31 29%
May 27 6.5%
May 13 6%
NOUVEAU
$35,765 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$35,765 Vol.
31 mai 2026
On or prior to May 6
<1%
May 7
4%
May 8
<1%
May 9
1%
May 10
2%
May 11
3%
May 12
21%
May 13
6%
May 14
5%
May 15
2%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
4%
May 19
34%
May 20
5%
May 21
3%
May 22
2%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
3%
May 26
1%
May 27
6%
May 28
<1%
May 29
1%
May 30
1%
May 31
1%
No release by May 31
29%
May 19 34%
No release by May 31 29%
May 27 6.5%
May 13 6%
NOUVEAU
$35,765 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$35,765 Vol.
31 mai 2026
On or prior to May 6
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
May 7
$784 Vol.
4%
May 8
$499 Vol.
<1%
May 9
$2,773 Vol.
1%
May 10
$2,853 Vol.
2%
May 11
$554 Vol.
3%
May 12
$567 Vol.
21%
May 13
$604 Vol.
6%
May 14
$526 Vol.
5%
May 15
$524 Vol.
2%
May 16
$2,806 Vol.
<1%
May 17
$2,818 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$752 Vol.
4%
May 19
$1,252 Vol.
34%
May 20
$857 Vol.
5%
May 21
$791 Vol.
3%
May 22
$771 Vol.
2%
May 23
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
May 24
$2,626 Vol.
1%
May 25
$596 Vol.
3%
May 26
$601 Vol.
1%
May 27
$586 Vol.
6%
May 28
$586 Vol.
<1%
May 29
$611 Vol.
1%
May 30
$2,995 Vol.
1%
May 31
$2,757 Vol.
1%
No release by May 31
$673 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders' close split between May 19 (33.5%) and no Gemini 3.2 release by May 31 (32.5%) reflects mounting anticipation from fresh leaks showing Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the model selector on May 5, with limited user access but no official announcement from Google DeepMind. This follows Gemini 3's November 2025 debut and 3.1 Pro Preview in February 2026, signaling accelerated large language model iteration amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. Google I/O on May 19-20 looms as the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest major AI reveals, though rollout delays or naming shifts (e.g., to 3.5) could push timelines, keeping "No release by May 31" viable and underscoring prediction market wisdom in pricing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$35,765Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders' close split between May 19 (33.5%) and no Gemini 3.2 release by May 31 (32.5%) reflects mounting anticipation from fresh leaks showing Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the model selector on May 5, with limited user access but no official announcement from Google DeepMind. This follows Gemini 3's November 2025 debut and 3.1 Pro Preview in February 2026, signaling accelerated large language model iteration amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. Google I/O on May 19-20 looms as the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest major AI reveals, though rollout delays or naming shifts (e.g., to 3.5) could push timelines, keeping "No release by May 31" viable and underscoring prediction market wisdom in pricing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,765Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' close split between May 19 (33.5%) and no Gemini 3.2 release by May 31 (32.5%) reflects mounting anticipation from fresh leaks showing Gemini 3.2 Flash appearing in the model selector on May 5, with limited user access but no official announcement from Google DeepMind. This follows Gemini 3's November 2025 debut and 3.1 Pro Preview in February 2026, signaling accelerated large language model iteration amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. Google I/O on May 19-20 looms as the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest major AI reveals, though rollout delays or naming shifts (e.g., to 3.5) could push timelines, keeping "No release by May 31" viable and underscoring prediction market wisdom in pricing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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