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icon for Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ?

Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ?

icon for Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ?

Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ?

NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
Polymarket

$252 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ≥85 mph

≥85 mph

$104 Vol.

74%

icon for ≥90 mph

≥90 mph

$105 Vol.

74%

icon for ≥95 mph

≥95 mph

$44 Vol.

56%

icon for ≥100 mph

≥100 mph

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for ≥110 mph

≥110 mph

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for ≥115 mph

≥115 mph

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory instruments at 6,288 feet routinely record gusts driven by steep pressure gradients and orographic effects, though August averages are markedly lower than winter peaks due to weaker synoptic systems. Historical August maxima, such as the 147 mph gust tied to Tropical Storm Isaias, underscore how landfalling or nearby tropical cyclones can produce the month's strongest winds. With 2026 hurricane season forecasts indicating near-normal Atlantic activity and no major systems imminent as of late July, trader consensus reflects limited near-term catalysts for extreme readings. Upcoming National Hurricane Center updates and regional model runs through early August will refine steering patterns and intensity projections that directly inform resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory instruments at 6,288 feet routinely record gusts driven by steep pressure gradients and orographic effects, though August averages are markedly lower than winter peaks due to weaker synoptic systems. Historical August maxima, such as the 147 mph gust tied to Tropical Storm Isaias, underscore how landfalling or nearby tropical cyclones can produce the month's strongest winds. With 2026 hurricane season forecasts indicating near-normal Atlantic activity and no major systems imminent as of late July, trader consensus reflects limited near-term catalysts for extreme readings. Upcoming National Hurricane Center updates and regional model runs through early August will refine steering patterns and intensity projections that directly inform resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ≥85 mph » à 74%, suivi de « ≥90 mph » à 74%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ? » est « ≥85 mph » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ≥90 mph » à 74%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vitesse du vent la plus élevée du mont Washington en août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.