Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 28 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 28 juillet ?
80-81 °F 38%
78-79 °F 27%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juil. 2026
73°F ou moins
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79 °F
27%
80-81 °F
38%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
10%
30-30,5°C
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F ou plus
2%
80-81 °F 38%
78-79 °F 27%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juil. 2026
73°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$32 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$36 Vol.
13%
78-79 °F
$34 Vol.
27%
80-81 °F
$54 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$76 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
10%
30-30,5°C
$11 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$71 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
1%
92°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$316Date de fin
28 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Date de fin
28 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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