Current forecasts from major models, including guidance from the National Weather Service, point to an overnight low in New York City on July 28 likely ranging from the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, driven by moderate humidity, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically raises minimum temperatures by several degrees relative to surrounding areas. Recent model consensus shows tight clustering around 69–72°F, with small differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any late-day thunderstorm remnants creating the spread seen in market-implied odds. Historical July minima in NYC average near 70°F, providing context for why outcomes in the 68–73°F range dominate trader positioning ahead of updated short-range model runs expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à New York le 28 juillet ?
Température la plus basse à New York le 28 juillet ?
72-73 °F 63%
70-71°F 26%
68-69 °F 8%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juil. 2026
61°F ou moins
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69 °F
8%
70-71°F
26%
72-73 °F
63%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou plus
<1%
72-73 °F 63%
70-71°F 26%
68-69 °F 8%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juil. 2026
61°F ou moins
$217 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$271 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$266 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$501 Vol.
5%
68-69 °F
$483 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$1,341 Vol.
26%
72-73 °F
$2,003 Vol.
63%
74-75°F
$1,486 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
80°F ou plus
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models, including guidance from the National Weather Service, point to an overnight low in New York City on July 28 likely ranging from the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, driven by moderate humidity, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically raises minimum temperatures by several degrees relative to surrounding areas. Recent model consensus shows tight clustering around 69–72°F, with small differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any late-day thunderstorm remnants creating the spread seen in market-implied odds. Historical July minima in NYC average near 70°F, providing context for why outcomes in the 68–73°F range dominate trader positioning ahead of updated short-range model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$9,307Date de fin
28 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models, including guidance from the National Weather Service, point to an overnight low in New York City on July 28 likely ranging from the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, driven by moderate humidity, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically raises minimum temperatures by several degrees relative to surrounding areas. Recent model consensus shows tight clustering around 69–72°F, with small differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any late-day thunderstorm remnants creating the spread seen in market-implied odds. Historical July minima in NYC average near 70°F, providing context for why outcomes in the 68–73°F range dominate trader positioning ahead of updated short-range model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,307Date de fin
28 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models, including guidance from the National Weather Service, point to an overnight low in New York City on July 28 likely ranging from the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, driven by moderate humidity, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically raises minimum temperatures by several degrees relative to surrounding areas. Recent model consensus shows tight clustering around 69–72°F, with small differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any late-day thunderstorm remnants creating the spread seen in market-implied odds. Historical July minima in NYC average near 70°F, providing context for why outcomes in the 68–73°F range dominate trader positioning ahead of updated short-range model runs expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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