The contained May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before ending through quarantines and contact tracing, underpins trader confidence in no 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments confirm the strain showed no increased transmissibility beyond its typical requirement for prolonged close contact, yielding an effective reproduction number near or below one outside the vessel. Surveillance data through September reveal no community spread or mutation enabling efficient respiratory transmission, consistent with the virus’s primary rodent reservoir and historical patterns of sporadic zoonotic spillover. While a novel genetic shift could theoretically alter dynamics before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and agency monitoring make such an outcome highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Pandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Oui
3% chance
$18,198,823 Vol.
$18,198,823 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$18,198,823 Vol.
$18,198,823 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before ending through quarantines and contact tracing, underpins trader confidence in no 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments confirm the strain showed no increased transmissibility beyond its typical requirement for prolonged close contact, yielding an effective reproduction number near or below one outside the vessel. Surveillance data through September reveal no community spread or mutation enabling efficient respiratory transmission, consistent with the virus’s primary rodent reservoir and historical patterns of sporadic zoonotic spillover. While a novel genetic shift could theoretically alter dynamics before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and agency monitoring make such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$18,198,823Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The contained May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before ending through quarantines and contact tracing, underpins trader confidence in no 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments confirm the strain showed no increased transmissibility beyond its typical requirement for prolonged close contact, yielding an effective reproduction number near or below one outside the vessel. Surveillance data through September reveal no community spread or mutation enabling efficient respiratory transmission, consistent with the virus’s primary rodent reservoir and historical patterns of sporadic zoonotic spillover. While a novel genetic shift could theoretically alter dynamics before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and agency monitoring make such an outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,198,823Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The contained May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced roughly 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before ending through quarantines and contact tracing, underpins trader confidence in no 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments confirm the strain showed no increased transmissibility beyond its typical requirement for prolonged close contact, yielding an effective reproduction number near or below one outside the vessel. Surveillance data through September reveal no community spread or mutation enabling efficient respiratory transmission, consistent with the virus’s primary rodent reservoir and historical patterns of sporadic zoonotic spillover. While a novel genetic shift could theoretically alter dynamics before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and agency monitoring make such an outcome highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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