Global surveillance from the WHO and CDC shows SARS-CoV-2 continuing to circulate at low, stable levels with test positivity around 3%, driven by variants such as XFG and BA.3.2 that remain under monitoring but lack the combination of high transmissibility and immune evasion needed for a new pandemic. Population-level cross-immunity from prior infections and vaccinations has measurably reduced the emergence probability of related zoonotic sarbecoviruses. Trader consensus at 96% against a 2026 coronavirus pandemic aligns with this endemic pattern and the absence of novel high-risk strains. An unexpected mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or a major undetected animal reservoir spillover could still alter outcomes before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNouvelle pandémie de coronavirus en 2026 ?
Oui
$24,119 Vol.
$24,119 Vol.
Oui
$24,119 Vol.
$24,119 Vol.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Global surveillance from the WHO and CDC shows SARS-CoV-2 continuing to circulate at low, stable levels with test positivity around 3%, driven by variants such as XFG and BA.3.2 that remain under monitoring but lack the combination of high transmissibility and immune evasion needed for a new pandemic. Population-level cross-immunity from prior infections and vaccinations has measurably reduced the emergence probability of related zoonotic sarbecoviruses. Trader consensus at 96% against a 2026 coronavirus pandemic aligns with this endemic pattern and the absence of novel high-risk strains. An unexpected mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or a major undetected animal reservoir spillover could still alter outcomes before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes