Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
13°C 34%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
26%
13°C
34%
14°C
22%
15°C
12%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 34%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
8°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$90 Vol.
1%
10°C
$80 Vol.
5%
11°C
$35 Vol.
12%
12°C
$35 Vol.
26%
13°C
$227 Vol.
34%
14°C
$42 Vol.
22%
15°C
$199 Vol.
12%
16°C
$242 Vol.
6%
17°C
$222 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,605Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,605Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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