Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 1er juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 1er juillet ?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Vol.
$73,994 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Vol.
$73,994 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
$3,131 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,616 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,540 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3,964 Vol.
Non
22°C
$8,093 Vol.
Non
23°C
$17,460 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$16,445 Vol.
Non
25°C
$10,590 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,772 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,337 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$2,046 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$73,994Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,994Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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