Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 5 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 5 juillet ?
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,651 Vol.
$59,651 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,651 Vol.
$59,651 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
$3,183 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,677 Vol.
Non
19°C
$4,663 Vol.
Non
20°C
$13,886 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$15,080 Vol.
Non
22°C
$7,584 Vol.
Non
23°C
$6,108 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,004 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,987 Vol.
Non
26°C
$755 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$725 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$59,651Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,651Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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