Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 Vol.
$53,892 Vol.
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 Vol.
$53,892 Vol.
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
$700 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,595 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,962 Vol.
No
17°C
$16,064 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,496 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$6,932 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,445 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,112 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,174 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,194 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$218 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$53,892Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,892Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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