Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 25 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 25 juillet ?
29°C 99.8%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,522 Vol.
$23,522 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
29°C 99.8%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,522 Vol.
$23,522 Vol.
25 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
$415 Vol.
Non
24°C
$634 Vol.
Non
25°C
$906 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,756 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,654 Vol.
Non
28°C
$5,554 Vol.
Non
29°C
$9,225 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$915 Vol.
Non
31°C
$785 Vol.
Non
32°C
$387 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$291 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,522Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,522Date de fin
25 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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