Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 3 août ?
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes