**Typical midsummer conditions in Tokyo favor a low near the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C, with current forecasts pointing to 23–25°C overnight on August 3.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended models show cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, light winds, and high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs indicate no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate period, keeping conditions close to August climatology. Urban heat-island effects and persistent warm advection from the Pacific further limit cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the 24°C outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C depending on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers. Updated JMA and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 3 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 3 août ?
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
19°C ou moins
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
62%
25°C
21%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C ou plus
1%
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$37 Vol.
1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
13%
23°C
$110 Vol.
22%
24°C
$15 Vol.
62%
25°C
$5 Vol.
21%
26°C
$6 Vol.
9%
27°C
$38 Vol.
3%
28°C
$27 Vol.
1%
29°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical midsummer conditions in Tokyo favor a low near the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C, with current forecasts pointing to 23–25°C overnight on August 3.**
Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended models show cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, light winds, and high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs indicate no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate period, keeping conditions close to August climatology. Urban heat-island effects and persistent warm advection from the Pacific further limit cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the 24°C outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C depending on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers. Updated JMA and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$288Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical midsummer conditions in Tokyo favor a low near the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C, with current forecasts pointing to 23–25°C overnight on August 3.**
Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended models show cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, light winds, and high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs indicate no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate period, keeping conditions close to August climatology. Urban heat-island effects and persistent warm advection from the Pacific further limit cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the 24°C outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C depending on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers. Updated JMA and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$288Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Typical midsummer conditions in Tokyo favor a low near the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C, with current forecasts pointing to 23–25°C overnight on August 3.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and extended models show cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, light winds, and high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs indicate no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences in the immediate period, keeping conditions close to August climatology. Urban heat-island effects and persistent warm advection from the Pacific further limit cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the 24°C outcome while allowing modest probability for 23°C or 25°C depending on exact cloud timing and any scattered showers. Updated JMA and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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