The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–23°C reflect standard short-range forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 3, driven by variable winter synoptic patterns over the southwest Cape. Atlantic high-pressure ridging, cold-front timing, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain can shift daytime highs by several degrees, while the Benguela Current keeps baseline August maxima near 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest warming potential from northerly flow, but divergence in low-level moisture and wind speed keeps probabilities spread across the 19–24°C band. New SAWS and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée au Cap le 3 août ?
Température la plus élevée au Cap le 3 août ?
21°C 27%
22°C 24%
23°C 21%
20°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
27%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 27%
22°C 24%
23°C 21%
20°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$26 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$10 Vol.
11%
20°C
$45 Vol.
18%
21°C
$88 Vol.
27%
22°C
$21 Vol.
24%
23°C
$205 Vol.
21%
24°C
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$20 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–23°C reflect standard short-range forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 3, driven by variable winter synoptic patterns over the southwest Cape. Atlantic high-pressure ridging, cold-front timing, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain can shift daytime highs by several degrees, while the Benguela Current keeps baseline August maxima near 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest warming potential from northerly flow, but divergence in low-level moisture and wind speed keeps probabilities spread across the 19–24°C band. New SAWS and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$512Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–23°C reflect standard short-range forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 3, driven by variable winter synoptic patterns over the southwest Cape. Atlantic high-pressure ridging, cold-front timing, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain can shift daytime highs by several degrees, while the Benguela Current keeps baseline August maxima near 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest warming potential from northerly flow, but divergence in low-level moisture and wind speed keeps probabilities spread across the 19–24°C band. New SAWS and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–23°C reflect standard short-range forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s daily maximum on August 3, driven by variable winter synoptic patterns over the southwest Cape. Atlantic high-pressure ridging, cold-front timing, and local orographic effects from Table Mountain can shift daytime highs by several degrees, while the Benguela Current keeps baseline August maxima near 17–18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest warming potential from northerly flow, but divergence in low-level moisture and wind speed keeps probabilities spread across the 19–24°C band. New SAWS and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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