Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 3 août ?
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$276 Vol.
1%
27°C
$433 Vol.
1%
28°C
$219 Vol.
6%
29°C
$309 Vol.
18%
30°C
$561 Vol.
34%
31°C
$363 Vol.
32%
32°C
$38 Vol.
12%
33°C
$2,166 Vol.
7%
34°C
$32 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,671Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,671Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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