Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 1er août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 1er août ?
36°C 39%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
20%
36°C
39%
37°C
31%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
2%
36°C 39%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
31°C or below
$24 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C
$48 Vol.
2%
34°C
$220 Vol.
4%
35°C
$66 Vol.
20%
36°C
$102 Vol.
39%
37°C
$78 Vol.
31%
38°C
$107 Vol.
10%
39°C
$47 Vol.
4%
40°C
$61 Vol.
2%
41°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$777Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$777Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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