Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 1er août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 1er août ?
28°C 41%
27°C 39%
29°C 11%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
5%
27°C
39%
28°C
41%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 39%
29°C 11%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$42 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
1%
24°C
$28 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$23 Vol.
39%
28°C
$80 Vol.
41%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$81 Vol.
2%
31°C
$42 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$353Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$353Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 clustering tightly around 27–28°C because JMA and ensemble models currently project a minimum near 27°C under persistent influence from an expanded Pacific high. This setup favors mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds typical of midsummer. Historical climatology places average August lows near 24–25°C, but 2026 guidance indicates above-normal warmth from the strong subtropical ridge, pushing probabilities toward the upper end of the normal range. Minor model spreads on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-equal weighting across 26–29°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hours of observational data and any last-minute forecast adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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