Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures on August 3, keeping daily highs clustered near 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights southeasterly flow off the South China Sea and localized convection as key variables that could suppress or allow brief warming episodes, explaining the tight market spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions are elevating baseline warmth relative to historical August averages of 30–32°C, yet near-term rain probabilities introduce genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against official CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 3 août ?
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
25%
29°C
33%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C ou plus
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$36 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$26 Vol.
1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
2%
26°C
$21 Vol.
5%
27°C
$21 Vol.
12%
28°C
$27 Vol.
25%
29°C
$21 Vol.
33%
30°C
$37 Vol.
22%
31°C
$39 Vol.
9%
32°C
$36 Vol.
5%
33°C ou plus
$38 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures on August 3, keeping daily highs clustered near 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights southeasterly flow off the South China Sea and localized convection as key variables that could suppress or allow brief warming episodes, explaining the tight market spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions are elevating baseline warmth relative to historical August averages of 30–32°C, yet near-term rain probabilities introduce genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against official CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$333Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures on August 3, keeping daily highs clustered near 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights southeasterly flow off the South China Sea and localized convection as key variables that could suppress or allow brief warming episodes, explaining the tight market spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions are elevating baseline warmth relative to historical August averages of 30–32°C, yet near-term rain probabilities introduce genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against official CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures on August 3, keeping daily highs clustered near 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights southeasterly flow off the South China Sea and localized convection as key variables that could suppress or allow brief warming episodes, explaining the tight market spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions are elevating baseline warmth relative to historical August averages of 30–32°C, yet near-term rain probabilities introduce genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against official CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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