Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on July 31, 2026, under the influence of a subtropical ridge that brought generally fine conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This value aligns with regional station readings and climatological expectations for late July, when typical highs reach 30–32°C but can moderate due to cloud cover, higher humidity, or post-typhoon effects from earlier systems like Noul. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of official records rather than forecasts. Revisions remain possible only if the Observatory issues corrected observations from its primary site or adjusts for instrumental factors, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 31 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 31 juillet ?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$178,130 Vol.
$178,130 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$178,130 Vol.
$178,130 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
24°C or below
$411 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,714 Vol.
No
26°C
$29,950 Vol.
No
27°C
$44,848 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$34,272 Vol.
No
29°C
$20,643 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,321 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,763 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,459 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,340 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$2,410 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on July 31, 2026, under the influence of a subtropical ridge that brought generally fine conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This value aligns with regional station readings and climatological expectations for late July, when typical highs reach 30–32°C but can moderate due to cloud cover, higher humidity, or post-typhoon effects from earlier systems like Noul. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of official records rather than forecasts. Revisions remain possible only if the Observatory issues corrected observations from its primary site or adjusts for instrumental factors, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$178,130Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on July 31, 2026, under the influence of a subtropical ridge that brought generally fine conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This value aligns with regional station readings and climatological expectations for late July, when typical highs reach 30–32°C but can moderate due to cloud cover, higher humidity, or post-typhoon effects from earlier systems like Noul. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of official records rather than forecasts. Revisions remain possible only if the Observatory issues corrected observations from its primary site or adjusts for instrumental factors, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$178,130Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on July 31, 2026, under the influence of a subtropical ridge that brought generally fine conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This value aligns with regional station readings and climatological expectations for late July, when typical highs reach 30–32°C but can moderate due to cloud cover, higher humidity, or post-typhoon effects from earlier systems like Noul. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of official records rather than forecasts. Revisions remain possible only if the Observatory issues corrected observations from its primary site or adjusts for instrumental factors, though such changes are rare after initial publication.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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