Latest meteorological model consensus for Chengdu on September 24 points to a daily maximum of 24–26°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C. Autumnal cooling combined with high regional humidity and weak steering winds limits daytime solar heating, while scattered showers further suppress temperatures relative to September climatological averages near 25°C. Ensemble spreads from global models reflect modest uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping probabilities distributed across 24–27°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 24 septembre ?
26°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 19%
24°C 17%
21°C ou moins
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
17%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
19%
28°C
13%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 19%
24°C 17%
21°C ou moins
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
17%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
19%
28°C
13%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus for Chengdu on September 24 points to a daily maximum of 24–26°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C. Autumnal cooling combined with high regional humidity and weak steering winds limits daytime solar heating, while scattered showers further suppress temperatures relative to September climatological averages near 25°C. Ensemble spreads from global models reflect modest uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping probabilities distributed across 24–27°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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