Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 22 septembre ?
30°C 48%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
34°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
47%
31°C
34%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
15%
35°C ou plus
14%
30°C 48%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
34°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$101 Vol.
10%
29°C
$165 Vol.
20%
30°C
$288 Vol.
47%
31°C
$297 Vol.
34%
32°C
$136 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$987Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$987Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes