Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a warm front and associated shower/thunderstorm activity arriving Saturday, September 19, as the dominant influence on Chicago’s daily maximum. Cloud cover and evaporational cooling from widespread precipitation are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 74.8 °F, while any breaks in the overcast or delayed onset of storms could allow brief warming into the upper 70s or low 80s. Lake-breeze circulation and southeasterly flow may further modulate readings along the shoreline versus inland sites. With the event only 48 hours away, successive model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the primary catalysts for shifts in the closely bunched market-implied probabilities across the 70–85 °F range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 19 septembre ?
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
70-71°F 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
17%
82-83 °F
14%
84-85 °F
14%
86-87°F
5%
88°F ou plus
11%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
70-71°F 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$30 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
17%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
14%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
5%
88°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a warm front and associated shower/thunderstorm activity arriving Saturday, September 19, as the dominant influence on Chicago’s daily maximum. Cloud cover and evaporational cooling from widespread precipitation are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 74.8 °F, while any breaks in the overcast or delayed onset of storms could allow brief warming into the upper 70s or low 80s. Lake-breeze circulation and southeasterly flow may further modulate readings along the shoreline versus inland sites. With the event only 48 hours away, successive model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the primary catalysts for shifts in the closely bunched market-implied probabilities across the 70–85 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$35Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a warm front and associated shower/thunderstorm activity arriving Saturday, September 19, as the dominant influence on Chicago’s daily maximum. Cloud cover and evaporational cooling from widespread precipitation are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 74.8 °F, while any breaks in the overcast or delayed onset of storms could allow brief warming into the upper 70s or low 80s. Lake-breeze circulation and southeasterly flow may further modulate readings along the shoreline versus inland sites. With the event only 48 hours away, successive model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the primary catalysts for shifts in the closely bunched market-implied probabilities across the 70–85 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a warm front and associated shower/thunderstorm activity arriving Saturday, September 19, as the dominant influence on Chicago’s daily maximum. Cloud cover and evaporational cooling from widespread precipitation are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 74.8 °F, while any breaks in the overcast or delayed onset of storms could allow brief warming into the upper 70s or low 80s. Lake-breeze circulation and southeasterly flow may further modulate readings along the shoreline versus inland sites. With the event only 48 hours away, successive model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the primary catalysts for shifts in the closely bunched market-implied probabilities across the 70–85 °F range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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