Current forecasts for Manila on September 17 highlight persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high cloud cover, with official model guidance pointing to maximum temperatures near 29–30°C amid elevated humidity and limited solar insolation. This aligns with climatological norms for the rainy season but leaves room for variance if convective timing shifts or brief clear intervals allow greater surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster around 31–32°C because traders weigh ensemble model spreads, potential underestimation of peak readings during partial breaks, and historical analogs where similar setups produced brief spikes above guidance. Upcoming updated runs from regional agencies will likely refine steering patterns and instability indices that determine whether outcomes tilt lower or test the upper end of the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 17 septembre ?
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
33°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
33°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$8 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C
$262 Vol.
29%
33°C
$6 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 17 highlight persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high cloud cover, with official model guidance pointing to maximum temperatures near 29–30°C amid elevated humidity and limited solar insolation. This aligns with climatological norms for the rainy season but leaves room for variance if convective timing shifts or brief clear intervals allow greater surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster around 31–32°C because traders weigh ensemble model spreads, potential underestimation of peak readings during partial breaks, and historical analogs where similar setups produced brief spikes above guidance. Upcoming updated runs from regional agencies will likely refine steering patterns and instability indices that determine whether outcomes tilt lower or test the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$504Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 17 highlight persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high cloud cover, with official model guidance pointing to maximum temperatures near 29–30°C amid elevated humidity and limited solar insolation. This aligns with climatological norms for the rainy season but leaves room for variance if convective timing shifts or brief clear intervals allow greater surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster around 31–32°C because traders weigh ensemble model spreads, potential underestimation of peak readings during partial breaks, and historical analogs where similar setups produced brief spikes above guidance. Upcoming updated runs from regional agencies will likely refine steering patterns and instability indices that determine whether outcomes tilt lower or test the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$504Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 17 highlight persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high cloud cover, with official model guidance pointing to maximum temperatures near 29–30°C amid elevated humidity and limited solar insolation. This aligns with climatological norms for the rainy season but leaves room for variance if convective timing shifts or brief clear intervals allow greater surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster around 31–32°C because traders weigh ensemble model spreads, potential underestimation of peak readings during partial breaks, and historical analogs where similar setups produced brief spikes above guidance. Upcoming updated runs from regional agencies will likely refine steering patterns and instability indices that determine whether outcomes tilt lower or test the upper end of the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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