Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high of 22–23°C in London on September 15, driven by a weakening frontal boundary that delivers early cloud and light rain before fresher westerly winds clear skies and moderate temperatures. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 20°C rise modestly under southerly flow but remain well below heatwave thresholds. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 50% implied probability and 22°C at 39.5%, reflects the tight clustering of official and GFS runs around these values, tempered by minor uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated midday observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 septembre ?
23°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 7%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
40%
23°C
50%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 7%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$345 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
1%
20°C
$429 Vol.
1%
21°C
$779 Vol.
7%
22°C
$1,473 Vol.
40%
23°C
$3,542 Vol.
50%
24°C
$283 Vol.
5%
25°C
$485 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high of 22–23°C in London on September 15, driven by a weakening frontal boundary that delivers early cloud and light rain before fresher westerly winds clear skies and moderate temperatures. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 20°C rise modestly under southerly flow but remain well below heatwave thresholds. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 50% implied probability and 22°C at 39.5%, reflects the tight clustering of official and GFS runs around these values, tempered by minor uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated midday observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$8,356Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high of 22–23°C in London on September 15, driven by a weakening frontal boundary that delivers early cloud and light rain before fresher westerly winds clear skies and moderate temperatures. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 20°C rise modestly under southerly flow but remain well below heatwave thresholds. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 50% implied probability and 22°C at 39.5%, reflects the tight clustering of official and GFS runs around these values, tempered by minor uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated midday observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,356Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high of 22–23°C in London on September 15, driven by a weakening frontal boundary that delivers early cloud and light rain before fresher westerly winds clear skies and moderate temperatures. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 20°C rise modestly under southerly flow but remain well below heatwave thresholds. Trader positioning, with 23°C at 50% implied probability and 22°C at 39.5%, reflects the tight clustering of official and GFS runs around these values, tempered by minor uncertainty in exact clearing timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated midday observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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