Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 99.6% implied probability for the 72-73°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent warm overnight conditions driven by a strong southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies amid an ongoing late-summer heat pattern that pushed daily lows well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus and real-time station data converged on this value with minimal spread, and the market's near-certainty stems from the completed observation window. Only an unreported station discrepancy, post-hoc data revision, or measurement anomaly could alter the recorded low, though such revisions are rare for verified NWS reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 16 septembre ?
72-73°F 99.6%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75 °F <1%
$3,852 Vol.
$3,852 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75 °F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 99.6%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75 °F <1%
$3,852 Vol.
$3,852 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$26 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$149 Vol.
100%
74-75 °F
$1,284 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,449 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
88°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 99.6% implied probability for the 72-73°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent warm overnight conditions driven by a strong southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies amid an ongoing late-summer heat pattern that pushed daily lows well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus and real-time station data converged on this value with minimal spread, and the market's near-certainty stems from the completed observation window. Only an unreported station discrepancy, post-hoc data revision, or measurement anomaly could alter the recorded low, though such revisions are rare for verified NWS reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,852Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 99.6% implied probability for the 72-73°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent warm overnight conditions driven by a strong southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies amid an ongoing late-summer heat pattern that pushed daily lows well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus and real-time station data converged on this value with minimal spread, and the market's near-certainty stems from the completed observation window. Only an unreported station discrepancy, post-hoc data revision, or measurement anomaly could alter the recorded low, though such revisions are rare for verified NWS reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,852Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 99.6% implied probability for the 72-73°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent warm overnight conditions driven by a strong southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies amid an ongoing late-summer heat pattern that pushed daily lows well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus and real-time station data converged on this value with minimal spread, and the market's near-certainty stems from the completed observation window. Only an unreported station discrepancy, post-hoc data revision, or measurement anomaly could alter the recorded low, though such revisions are rare for verified NWS reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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