Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a high of 32–33°C for Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating in the subtropical regime, where solar insolation remains high ahead of increasing moisture and potential showers later in the weekend. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C, while historical September averages near 31°C provide context for the modest upward bias in current guidance. Updated model runs and local station briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the exact peak before official observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 19 septembre ?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
30°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
18%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
17%
36°C
17%
37°C
4%
38°C ou plus
4%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
30°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$5 Vol.
14%
32°C
$10 Vol.
26%
33°C
$217 Vol.
35%
34°C
$100 Vol.
28%
35°C
$0 Vol.
17%
36°C
$0 Vol.
17%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a high of 32–33°C for Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating in the subtropical regime, where solar insolation remains high ahead of increasing moisture and potential showers later in the weekend. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C, while historical September averages near 31°C provide context for the modest upward bias in current guidance. Updated model runs and local station briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the exact peak before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$333Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a high of 32–33°C for Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating in the subtropical regime, where solar insolation remains high ahead of increasing moisture and potential showers later in the weekend. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C, while historical September averages near 31°C provide context for the modest upward bias in current guidance. Updated model runs and local station briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the exact peak before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a high of 32–33°C for Shenzhen on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating in the subtropical regime, where solar insolation remains high ahead of increasing moisture and potential showers later in the weekend. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C, while historical September averages near 31°C provide context for the modest upward bias in current guidance. Updated model runs and local station briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the exact peak before official observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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