Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a probable daily high of 31–34°C in Guangzhou on September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This distribution drives the market's concentration around 33–35°C while spreading probability across neighboring outcomes due to model sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing. Historical September averages near 32°C and recent days hovering at 33–34°C provide context, though subtropical variability and potential steering influences keep the exact peak uncertain. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 17 septembre ?
35°C 23%
33°C 21%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
15%
33°C
21%
34°C
31%
35°C
23%
36°C
5%
37°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 23%
33°C 21%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$221 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$82 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$5 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$72 Vol.
31%
35°C
$56 Vol.
23%
36°C
$252 Vol.
5%
37°C ou plus
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a probable daily high of 31–34°C in Guangzhou on September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This distribution drives the market's concentration around 33–35°C while spreading probability across neighboring outcomes due to model sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing. Historical September averages near 32°C and recent days hovering at 33–34°C provide context, though subtropical variability and potential steering influences keep the exact peak uncertain. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$763Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a probable daily high of 31–34°C in Guangzhou on September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This distribution drives the market's concentration around 33–35°C while spreading probability across neighboring outcomes due to model sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing. Historical September averages near 32°C and recent days hovering at 33–34°C provide context, though subtropical variability and potential steering influences keep the exact peak uncertain. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$763Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a probable daily high of 31–34°C in Guangzhou on September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit afternoon heating. This distribution drives the market's concentration around 33–35°C while spreading probability across neighboring outcomes due to model sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing. Historical September averages near 32°C and recent days hovering at 33–34°C provide context, though subtropical variability and potential steering influences keep the exact peak uncertain. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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