Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 15 septembre ?
24°C 51%
23°C 35%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$11,993 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,993 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
35%
24°C
51%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 35%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$11,993 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,993 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$266 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$349 Vol.
1%
21°C
$723 Vol.
2%
22°C
$739 Vol.
5%
23°C
$3,431 Vol.
35%
24°C
$1,859 Vol.
51%
25°C
$2,755 Vol.
10%
26°C
$1,227 Vol.
4%
27°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$11,993Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,993Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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